I-Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) ivumelene ngeSonto ukukhuphula izabelo zokukhiqiza uwoyela ngo-206,000 barrels ngosuku ngoMeyi. Lokhu kukhuphuka kuncane futhi kulindeleke ukuthi kube nomthelela omncane, njengoba amazwe abalulekile engakwazi ukwandisa ukukhiqiza ngenxa yempi eqhubekayo phakathi kwe-United States, i-Israel ne-Iran.
Le mpi isivale iStrait of Hormuz kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, okuyindlela ebaluleke kakhulu yokuhamba kukawoyela emhlabeni. Lokhu kuholele ekwehleni kokuthunyelwa kukawoyela emazweni afana neSaudi Arabia, i-UAE, iKuwait kanye ne-Iraq, okuyiwona kuphela abenamandla okwandisa ukukhiqiza ngaphambi kokuthi kuqale ukungqubuzana.
Amanani kawoyela akhuphuke kakhulu afinyelela cishe ku-$120 ngebharel, okuyisibalo esiphezulu eminyakeni emine edlule. Lokhu sekubangele ukukhuphuka kwezindleko zikaphethiloli, okucindezela abathengi namabhizinisi emhlabeni wonke, futhi kuphoqa ohulumeni ukuthi bathathe izinyathelo zokonga izinsiza.
Ukukhuphuka kwe-OPEC+ ngo-206,000 bpd kungaphansi kuka-2% wokuphazamiseka okubangelwe ukuvalwa kweStrait of Hormuz. Nokho, lokhu kukhombisa ukuzimisela kokwandisa ukukhiqiza uma indlela iphinde ivulwe. Inkampani yokuhlaziya i-Energy Aspects ichaze lokhu kukhuphuka njengento “engekho nomthelela omkhulu” uma izinkinga ziqhubeka.
Ochwepheshe bathi lokhu kukhuphuka ngeke kushintshe kakhulu isimo semakethe. Njengoba kusho uJorge Leon, owayeyisikhulu se-OPEC, okwamanje lezi zinyathelo azinawo umthelela omkhulu uma iStrait of Hormuz ivaliwe.
Amazwe ayisishiyagalombili e-OPEC+ avumelene ngalolu shintsho ngesikhathi somhlangano wabo owenziwe nge-inthanethi. Ngaphandle kwezinkinga emazweni aseGulf, amanye amazwe afana neRussia nawo awakwazi ukwandisa ukukhiqiza ngenxa yezijeziso zaseNtshonalanga kanye nomonakalo wezinsiza obangelwe impi yase-Ukraine.
Emazweni aseGulf, ukuhlaselwa ngezikhali kanye nama-drone sekulimaze kakhulu izikhungo zikawoyela. Izikhulu zithi kuzothatha izinyanga ukubuyisela ukusebenza okujwayelekile, ngisho noma impi iphela ngokushesha.
Ikomidi eliqapha ukusebenza kwe-OPEC+ liphinde lakhathazeka ngokuhlaselwa kwezinsiza zikawoyela, lisho ukuthi ukulungisa le monakalo kudla isikhathi nemali, okuthinta ukutholakala kukawoyela.
I-Iran iveze ukuthi i-Iraq ayivinjwa ukudlula eStrait of Hormuz, futhi kube nokubonakala komkhumbi othwele uwoyela wase-Iraq odlulayo. Nokho, kusangabazeka ukuthi eminye imikhumbi izozimisela ukuthatha le ngozi.
Ukuphazamiseka kokuhlinzekwa kukawoyela sekufinyelele ezingeni elikhulu kakhulu, kukhishwe cishe izigidi eziyi-12 kuya kweziyi-15 zamabharel ngosuku, okuyi-15% yokuhlinzekwa komhlaba wonke.
Ochwepheshe baxwayisa ngokuthi amanani kawoyela angadlula ku-$150 ngebharel uma iStrait of Hormuz ihlala ivaliwe isikhathi eside.
I-OPEC+ inamazwe angama-22, kodwa amazwe ayisishiyagalombili kuphela abambe iqhaza ezinqumweni zakamuva zokukhiqiza. La mazwe aqale ngo-2025 ukwandisa ukukhiqiza ukuze abuyise isabelo semakethe, ngaphambi kokumisa ukwanda ekuqaleni kuka-2026.
Umhlangano olandelayo walezi zizwe uhlelelwe uMeyi 3, lapho kuzoxoxwa khona ngezinyathelo ezilandelayo ngokuya ngesimo semakethe.
